Spreadex NFL Super Challenge 16/17

How were the Jets picked as the Browns/Jets game was excluded? :confused:

Well Done Noel - looks like youā€™ve beaten the league average, 3 is a solid score. Hopefully I can equal or beat that in week 9. Weā€™re 21 & 19 approaching half way, a couple of decent scores on the ā€˜back-nineā€™ should give us the chance of a prize

wk1 - Adamā€¦4
wk2 - Simonā€¦2
wk3 - Andersā€¦1
wk4 - Gordonā€¦3
wk5- Robertā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.3
wk6 - TPF Joint Effortā€¦3
wk7 - Shaniā€¦2
wk8 - Noelā€¦3
wk9 - Dean
wk10 - Al
wk11 - Kieran
wk12 - Chris (champ)
wk13 - Chris
wk14 - Jon
wk15 - Brad
wk16 - Sean
wk17 - Mark

WEEK 9
Fri 00:25 Atlanta (-3.5) @ (+3.5) Tampa Bay
Sun 18:00 Jacksonville (+9.5) @ (-9.5) Kansas City
Sun 18:00 Philadelphia (+2.5) @ (-2.5) New York Giants
Sun 18:00 Dallas (-7.5) @ (+7.5) Cleveland
Sun 18:00 New York Jets (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Miami
Sun 18:00 Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Sun 18:00 Detroit (+6.5) @ (-6.5) Minnesota
Sun 21:05 New Orleans (-3.5) @ (+3.5) San Francisco
Sun 21:05 Carolina (-3) @ (+3) Los Angeles
Sun 21:25 Indianapolis (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Green Bay
Sun 21:25 Tennessee (+4.5) @ (-4.5) San Diego
Mon 01:30 Denver (0) @ (0) Oakland
Tue 01:30 Buffalo (+7) @ (-7) Seattle

Denverā€™s great

Giants over Philadelphia looks good

Atlanta over Tampa looks good

1 Like

The TFP entry is tied 41st at the moment, 2.5 points away from a prize.

After a lot of research, mainly about which games we need to avoid, Iā€™ve shortlisted the following six:-

Sun 18:00 Jacksonville (+9.5) @ (-9.5) Kansas City
I donā€™t really like this pick and have actually bet the other way (Chiefs @ -6.5), however this is likely to be Spreadexā€™s most picked team and in our current situation, it makes sense to hang with the with league and take this as a win or loss with the rest of them.

Sun 18:00 New York Jets (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Miami
In a close divisional game, a FG would normally be the correct number but I think Miami have turned the corner and are playing better, the Jets seem like a team in a mess at the moment with problems at QB and every other offensive position. Decker has been a big miss and I think their other elite WR is struggling because of it. Itā€™s now or never for Miami, I think the Jets will try to stop their running game and make Tannerhill beat them, which is normally something nobody wants to bet, however the Jets are the worst Pass Dā€™ in the league and with players like Jarvis Landry, Kenny Stills and DeVante Parker surely one or two of them can get some TDā€™s. The Bills couldnā€™t shut down Jay Ajayi so perhaps New York canā€™t either? So the 3.5 doesnā€™t worry me as much as it normally would, I see the Dolphins leading and the Jets are not equipped to chase down the scoreboard or backdoor this number.

Sun 21:05 New Orleans (-3.5) @ (+3.5) San Francisco
Saints on the road is normally a concern but the 49ers are starting to look as bad as everyone thought the were. When this game starts I want to have Drew Brees on my side, not the other guy who seems destined to follow Chip Kelly out of NFL in a few months.

Sun 21:25 Indianapolis (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Green Bay
Shame the Packers donā€™t seem to have a RB sorted which would have made this an easy play. With the exception of Andrew Luck and Adam Vinatieri, the Colts have been woeful, a badly managed team with poor play-calling makes me want to go against them every week. I would have been more confident if this game was played at the end of November in normal Green Bay conditions instead of the predicted sunshine, the spread seems to have switched to -6.5 through the second most key number in ATS betting, so I may decide to leave this one out.

Sun 21:25 Tennessee (+4.5) @ (-4.5) San Diego
Had this game penciled in a while back when I first started researching week 9, the Chargers always seem to be in close games and coming off an overtime win in week 7 and a battering in Denver in week 8 a fully rested Titans team could turn San Diego over at the NFL easiest road venue. The Chargers are a better team but the -4.5 makes Tennessee the logical play

Tue 01:30 Buffalo (+7) @ (-7) Seattle
Over the past few seasons this would normally be a automatic play to bet Seattle, but having watching them all season they just donā€™t seem the same team. Russell Wilsons mobility doesnā€™t seem to there and they are struggling to score at will like they have normally done. Do the Bills give it everything going into their bye week? Can Dan Carpenter make every FG in one the NFLs toughest places to play especially for a prime time game. Can Tyrod Taylor remind the Seattle QB how to runā€¦very tough game to predict and +7 makes this interesting, I may leave this one out too.

Only team I nearly added was Dallas and Iā€™m a bit gutted that I decided to take out Atlanta on Thursday, I hope the whole league wasnā€™t on them as we should have been. Am I making the same mistake leaving out a Cowboys team which seems to be making a run to be the NFCā€™s top seed?

2 Likes

Week 9 League Picks
saints 67 - TFP Entry
panthers 54
broncos 54
lions 50
falcons 46
jags 45 TFP Entry
eagles 45
dolphins 39 TFP Entry
chargers 34
cowboys 33
packers 30 TFP Entry
browns 29
jets 27
giants 26
titans 25 TFP Entry
rams 24
seahawks 21
bills 18
colts 14
chiefs 14
49ers 14
raiders 11
vikings 10
bucs 5
steelers 0
ravens 0

The league average was finally well over .500, with an average score of 3.2, so my 3 isnā€™t particularly good, missed a few obvious ones in Dallas & Atlanta but weā€™re still in the hunt at 24 & 21.
Over to Al & Keiron for the next few important weeks.

wk1 - Adamā€¦4
wk2 - Simonā€¦2
wk3 - Andersā€¦1
wk4 - Gordonā€¦3
wk5- Robertā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.3
wk6 - TPF Joint Effortā€¦3
wk7 - Shaniā€¦2
wk8 - Noelā€¦3
wk9 - Deanā€¦3
wk10 - Al
wk11 - Kieran
wk12 - Chris (champ)
wk13 - Chris
wk14 - Jon
wk15 - Brad
wk16 - Sean
wk17 - Mark

WEEK 10

  1. Fri 01:25 Cleveland (+10) @ (-10) Baltimore
  2. Sun 18:00 Houston (-1.5) @ (+1.5) Jacksonville
  3. Sun 18:00 Kansas City (+3) @ (-3) Carolina
  4. Sun 18:00 Denver (+2.5) @ (-2.5) New Orleans
  5. Sun 18:00 Los Angeles (+2) @ (-2) New York Jets
  6. Sun 18:00 Atlanta (0) @ (0) Philadelphia
  7. Sun 18:00 Minnesota (+3) @ (-3) Washington
  8. Sun 18:00 Green Bay (-2.5) @ (+2.5) Tennessee
  9. Sun 18:00 Chicago @ Tampa Bay
  10. Sun 21:05 Miami (+3.5) @ (-3.5) San Diego
  11. Sun 21:25 San Francisco (+13.5) @ (-13.5) Arizona
  12. Sun 21:25 Dallas (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Pittsburgh
  13. Mon 01:30 Seattle (+7.5) @ (-7.5) New England
  14. Tue 01:30 Cincinnati (+2.5) @ (-2.5) New York Giants

Week 10 (league pics)
falcons 64
chargers 59
packers 55
browns 43
cowboys 42
panthers 39
saints 37
texans 36
steelers 36
jags 34
jets 32
redskins 32
bengals 31
seahawks 29
vikes 27
cards 23
chiefs 21
giants 21
broncos 17
pats 17
rams 11
titans 11
49ers 9
eagles 9
dolphins 8
ravens 7
bears 0
bucs 0

Wow - look at all those teams at the bottom of the list, Ravens, Dolphins, Eagles, 49ers, Titans, Rams, Broncos and Chiefs all winning.
I knew this was a tricky week but the compā€™ has never had a week like that - the books must have had a record win.

The team entry stands on 2 from 4 so far (Giants to play tonight). A 3/5 in a week like this should propel us up the leader-board to top-30 territory, one point away from a cash-prize.

Kieron is in control or week 11, then Chris (originals live draft champion from 2015).
Lets keep up the momentum.

1 Like

A ā€˜solidā€™ 2 outperforming our competition, puts us 6.5 point away from first place with 7 weeks to go. Kieron is up next then back to back Chrisā€™s

wk1 - Adamā€¦4
wk2 - Simonā€¦2
wk3 - Andersā€¦1
wk4 - Gordonā€¦3
wk5- Robertā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.3
wk6 - TPF Joint Effortā€¦3
wk7 - Shaniā€¦2
wk8 - Noelā€¦3
wk9 - Deanā€¦3
wk10 - Alā€¦2
wk11 - Kieran
wk12 - Chris (champ)
wk13 - Chris
wk14 - Jon
wk15 - Brad
wk16 - Sean
wk17 - Mark

WEEK 11

Fri 01:25 New Orleans (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Carolina
Sun 18:00 Tennessee (+3) @ (-3) Indianapolis
Sun 18:00 Jacksonville (+6.5) @ (-6.5) Detroit
Sun 18:00 Tampa Bay (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Kansas City
Sun 18:00 Chicago (+7.5) @ (-7.5) New York Giants
Sun 18:00 Arizona (0) @ (0) Minnesota
Sun 18:00 Buffalo (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Cincinnati
Sun 18:00 Baltimore (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Dallas
Sun 18:00 Pittsburgh (-7.5) @ (+7.5) Cleveland
Sun 21:05 Miami (-1.5) @ (+1.5) Los Angeles
Sun 21:25 New England (-13) @ (+13) San Francisco
Sun 21:25 Philadelphia (+6.5) @ (-6.5) Seattle
Mon 01:30 Green Bay (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Washington
Tue 01:30 Houston (+5.5) @ (-5.5) Oakland

Total League Selections (Team picks in bold)

titans 54
dolphins 51
vikings 48
steelers 42
raiders 39
ravens 36
redskins 36
bengals 29
panthers 28
seahawks 28
lions 25
bucs 24
bills 24
pats 19
rams 19
49ers 19
bears 18
packers 18
cards 17
giants 16
chiefs 15
cowboys 15
eagles 14
colts 14
saints 13
jags 9
browns 8
texans 7

Over to the TFP live leagueā€™s first ever Fantasy champion, every week is crucial from here on in.
The competition leader got a 5 and looks like his lead is going to be hard to catch, however weā€™re now only 3.5 points away from second place.

wk1 - Adamā€¦4
wk2 - Simonā€¦2
wk3 - Andersā€¦1
wk4 - Gordonā€¦3
wk5- Robertā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.3
wk6 - TPF Joint Effortā€¦3
wk7 - Shaniā€¦2
wk8 - Noelā€¦3
wk9 - Deanā€¦3
wk10 - Alā€¦2
wk11 - Kieranā€¦4
wk12 - Chris (champ)
wk13 - Chris
wk14 - Jon
wk15 - Brad
wk16 - Sean
wk17 - Mark

WEEK 12

Thu 17:30 Minnesota (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Detroit
Thu 21:30 Washington (+7) @ (-7) Dallas
Fri 01:30 Pittsburgh (-8) @ (+8) Indianapolis
Sun 18:00 San Diego (-1.5) @ (+1.5) Houston
Sun 18:00 Tennessee (-4.5) @ (+4.5) Chicago
Sun 18:00 Jacksonville (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Buffalo
Sun 18:00 Cincinnati (+4) @ (-4) Baltimore
Sun 18:00 Arizona (+4) @ (-4) Atlanta
Sun 18:00 San Francisco (+7.5) @ (-7.5) Miami
Sun 18:00 Los Angeles (+7.5) @ (-7.5) New Orleans
Sun 18:00 New York Giants (-6.5) @ (+6.5) Cleveland
Sun 21:05 Seattle (-5.5) @ (+5.5) Tampa Bay
Sun 21:25 Carolina (+3) @ (-3) Oakland
Sun 21:25 New England (-7.5) @ (+7.5) New York Jets
Mon 01:30 Kansas City (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Denver
Tue 01:30 Green Bay (+4) @ (-4) Philadelphia

League Pics - Team selections in bold

seahawks 54
giants 51
titans 46
redskins 44
falcons 43
raiders 39
steelers 38
broncos 30
vikings 29
rams 29
pats 26
chargers 23
lions 23
texans 23
ravens 22
chiefs 20
jets 19
panthers 18
dolphins 18
saints 18
eagles 17
packers 16
49ers 15
colts 14
bills 13
bucs 12
cards 10
bears 10
jags 9
bengals 8
cowboys 6
browns 2

Week 13
Fri 01:25 Dallas (-3) @ (+3) Minnesota
Sun 18:00 Kansas City (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Atlanta
Sun 18:00 Denver (-4.5) @ (+4.5) Jacksonville
Sun 18:00 Los Angeles (+13.5) @ (-13.5) New England
Sun 18:00 Detroit (+5.5) @ (-5.5) New Orleans
Sun 18:00 San Francisco (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Chicago
Sun 18:00 Miami (+3.5) @ (-3.5) Baltimore
Sun 18:00 Philadelphia (-1) @ (+1) Cincinnati
Sun 18:00 Houston (+6.5) @ (-6.5) Green Bay
Sun 18:00 Indianapolis @ New York Jets
Sun 21:05 Buffalo (+3) @ (-3) Oakland
Sun 21:25 Washington (+2.5) @ (-2.5) Arizona
Sun 21:25 New York Giants (+6.5) @ (-6.5) Pittsburgh
Sun 21:25 Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ (-3.5) San Diego
Mon 01:30 Carolina (+7) @ (-7) Seattle