I grew up playing golf and in spurts since then followed the US PGA tour and in terms of betting I always had a theory which I failed to follow through on. This year I thought I would take on the weekly challenge in an effort to see if my theory works or not. There will be some weeks where there are no applicable bets available and along the way some winners and losers but the idea is that through the course of a season a profit shall be made, we shall see.
The bet is always placed between round 3 and round 4 so if anybody wants to follow my theory I shall post bets in this thread any time from late Saturday through to tea time on a Sunday.
As it happens I am starting this week and there is a bet =
Matt Kucher to win the Humana Challenge @ 7.2 (betfair)
MK played a solid last round (bogey free and -5) and finished joint 2nd just one shot behind the winner. Ultimately however its a loss in week 1.
While its a lot of fun to buy and sell on golf Iām trying to run a theory that means Iām free to bet and leave it. Dean, your info is interesting however and if I find I hit a lot of close losses such as this week there may well be value in the buying and selling process on Sunday nights.
Will report back next week to advise if we have a bet or not.
Perhaps itās because Iām from Yorkshire, that I always try to lock in a profit
Buying & selling NFL on Betfair used to be a piece of piss, I was upset on a Monday if I hadnāt traded to āat leastā +Ā£50 on all 3 live games. But punters have become much more savvy and have a better understanding of the game now, so itās a little harder.
Sadly yet another close loss, Harris English birdied the last to enter a 4 way playoff. He was eliminated at the 1st extra hole. Thatās two losses to start, sounds alarming but itās not at all. Its encouraging that both tips performed well and took it to the wire and at the prices we are playing two losses in a row will not be totally uncommon. Lets see if next week brings us anything.
Sorry. I did check the leaderboard between Sat and Sun rounds but with it being valentines and my b-day today I did not get time to post that there was no bet this weekend. As I type this Snedeker has wrapped up the AT&T.
So with both bets so far going down to the wire at good prices lets see what next week brings.
I actually have another theory, well its more of a system actually, around golf which involves in play trading across the weekend, Iām a little excited with it as at this early stage other than discipline failures I cant see how it would fail. Iām going to continue running the above theory here to see how it pans out over the season and I will run my new āsystemā privately for a few months to see how well it works or whether I have missed something.
